Global Second Order (@Global2ndOrder) / X

Pinned

Oct 1st, we predicted exactly how Iran would play out: 1.Israel-Qatar strike = a negotiated deal, not escalation 2.Iran round 2 is coming, but not yet — too complex & HUGE energy risk 3.Venezuela first. Secure the oil under US-allied control 4.THEN Iran gets hit hard. Trump

Global Second Order

@Global2ndOrder

7h

The draft OAS resolution confirms extreme pressure on Nicaragua is impending: expulsion of Russian, Chinese and Iranian personnel and tech, then a 30-day clock before ministers reconvene to weigh economic measures. Friday's meeting agenda is the tell we flagged.

Global Second Order

@Global2ndOrder

Sep 27

Nicaragua will be Trump's next geographical target. Iran first, Cuba second, then Managua.

Global Second Order

@Global2ndOrder

Sep 30

Trump: “[There will be massive individual contributions to individuals in the community.]” His response to a question about datacenters and midterms tells us that stimulus checks meant to offset energy costs are likely to come from the Hyperscalers, branded as, "SuperIntelligence

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Global Second Order

@Global2ndOrder

Sep 29

Allies flip 0 to 1. Six months ago they asked what if Washington loses and they're exposed, so they stayed out. Now they ask what if Washington wins and they weren't there, so they're joining the fight. That dynamic is the war's scoreboard, not an Axios or Al Jazeera headline.

Nicaragua will be Trump's next geographical target. Iran first, Cuba second, then Managua.

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